{"id":1289,"date":"2022-09-19T20:12:31","date_gmt":"2022-09-19T20:12:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.menerva.me\/?p=1289"},"modified":"2024-04-06T21:05:23","modified_gmt":"2024-04-06T19:05:23","slug":"pelosi-a-taiwan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.menerva.me\/en\/pelosi-a-taiwan\/","title":{"rendered":"The thermometer of Asia: Pelosi in Taiwan"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"1289\" class=\"elementor elementor-1289\" data-elementor-settings=\"{&quot;ha_cmc_init_switcher&quot;:&quot;no&quot;}\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-49cb648 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"49cb648\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-a268216\" data-id=\"a268216\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4aa9eff elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"4aa9eff\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Chain reaction<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-b7e0db8 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"b7e0db8\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-d89f71c\" data-id=\"d89f71c\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1e14ea5 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"1e14ea5\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-5617e87 elementor-reverse-mobile elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"5617e87\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-9e629c9\" data-id=\"9e629c9\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-47fcbde elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"47fcbde\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The visit of the speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives to Taiwan was <b>the first high-profile one in several decades<\/b>, triggering Beijing's obvious indignant reactions.<\/p><p>In order not to <b>\"losing face,\" a central concept in Chinese social philosophy,<\/b> especially toward its own nationalist public opinion, after repeated threats toward similar gestures, <b>Beijing had to launch unprecedented military exercises surrounding the island with joint air and naval maneuvers<\/b>.<\/p><p>A jumble of condemnatory statements crowded the pages of Western media, but missing from the scene was a reaction from countries on the same continent directly involved in a possible crisis in Taiwan or the waters of the South China Sea.<\/p><p>Indeed, <b>reactions in Asia have been very different than in Europe<\/b>, even, in some cases, surprisingly so.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-7bd5efe\" data-id=\"7bd5efe\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5aad115 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"5aad115\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"636\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.menerva.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/MapChart_Pelosivisit-2.png?fit=800%2C636&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-658\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.menerva.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/MapChart_Pelosivisit-2.png?w=5000&amp;ssl=1 5000w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.menerva.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/MapChart_Pelosivisit-2.png?resize=300%2C239&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.menerva.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/MapChart_Pelosivisit-2.png?resize=1024%2C814&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.menerva.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/MapChart_Pelosivisit-2.png?resize=768%2C611&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.menerva.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/MapChart_Pelosivisit-2.png?resize=1536%2C1221&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.menerva.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/MapChart_Pelosivisit-2.png?resize=2048%2C1628&amp;ssl=1 2048w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.menerva.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/MapChart_Pelosivisit-2.png?w=1600&amp;ssl=1 1600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.menerva.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/MapChart_Pelosivisit-2.png?w=2400&amp;ssl=1 2400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-53392f7 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"53392f7\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-a084fca\" data-id=\"a084fca\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-443c167 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"443c167\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ab464f9 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"ab464f9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Taiwan supporters <\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-5ed2936 elementor-reverse-mobile elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"5ed2936\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-eb4bf92\" data-id=\"eb4bf92\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9436f00 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"9436f00\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><b>The only country on the mainland that publicly expressed strong condemnation of the Chinese retaliation to Nancy Pelosi's visit was Japan<\/b>, a regional rival of the People's Republic, engaged in a rapid and massive arms race.<\/p><p>The Japanese leadership on several occasions has reiterated that. <b>an attack on Taiwan would be considered an attack on Japan, and the Self-Defense Forces would intervene in the conflict alongside the island's military <\/b>And, presumably, of the United States.<\/p><p>Growing interdependence with the Chinese economy has not allowed any other government on the continent to use heated tones of disapproval toward military exercises. <\/p><p>A more attenuated gradation of the color of the statements, which could be united by the generic line of <b>\"moderation of actions<\/b>i unilateral\" without mentioning China, it could still be approached as limited support toward the Taiwanese cause<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-42026ad\" data-id=\"42026ad\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c420b41 elementor-widget-divider--view-line_text elementor-widget-divider--element-align-center elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"c420b41\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider__text elementor-divider__element\">\n\t\t\t\tStatements from Japan\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ef67870 elementor-blockquote--skin-quotation elementor-blockquote--align-center elementor-blockquote--button-color-official elementor-widget elementor-widget-blockquote\" data-id=\"ef67870\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"blockquote.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<blockquote class=\"elementor-blockquote\">\n\t\t\t<p class=\"elementor-blockquote__content\">\n\t\t\t\t(The launching of missiles) ... is a serious problem for the security of our country and our people ... We call for an immediate halt to military exercises\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-q-footer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<cite class=\"elementor-blockquote__author\">Fumio Kishida, Prime Minister of Japan<\/cite>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/blockquote>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-c417731 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"c417731\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-9f40d0b\" data-id=\"9f40d0b\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6581222 elementor-widget-divider--view-line_text elementor-widget-divider--element-align-center elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"6581222\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider__text elementor-divider__element\">\n\t\t\t\tStatements from the Emirates\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5e58cc9 elementor-blockquote--skin-quotation elementor-blockquote--align-center elementor-blockquote--button-color-official elementor-widget elementor-widget-blockquote\" data-id=\"5e58cc9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"blockquote.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<blockquote class=\"elementor-blockquote\">\n\t\t\t<p class=\"elementor-blockquote__content\">\n\t\t\t\tThe UAE affirms its support for China's sovereignty and territorial integrity, as for the importance of respecting the \"One China\" principle, recalling adherence to United Nations resolutions.\n\nThe UAE recalls its concern about the impact of any provocative visit on international stability \n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-q-footer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<cite class=\"elementor-blockquote__author\">Ministry of Foreign Affairs UAE <\/cite>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/blockquote>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-96cc681\" data-id=\"96cc681\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4ddc877 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"4ddc877\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>This position comes from three countries to which China has marked geopolitical competition:<\/p><ul><li><b>Vietnam<\/b>: with which China fought a border conflict in 1979 and disputes territorial waters in the South China Sea.<\/li><li><b>India<\/b>: hegemonic power in South Asia, a member of the QUAD group, which has fought several border wars with China, the closest ally of Pakistan's archenemy.<\/li><li><b>Singapore<\/b>: financial center of Asia and base of the U.S. fleet. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/week-asia\/politics\/article\/3110406\/us-navy-first-fleet-indian-ocean-based-out-singapore-not-likely\">The U.S. Naval Command has speculated on moving the 1st Fleet headquarters to Singapore.<\/a><\/li><\/ul><p>These are positions moderated by several caveats, so much so that the Singapore one was retracted after a meeting with the Chinese Foreign Minister.<\/p><p>The same happened in the case of the Philippines, which initially called on the parties to contain tensions and then at the call of the Chinese Ambassador in Manila reiterated adherence to the \"One China Policy\"<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-eba6a65 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"eba6a65\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-6d13b85\" data-id=\"6d13b85\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-fd8312d elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"fd8312d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-f645cb7 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"f645cb7\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-f170cba\" data-id=\"f170cba\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c4fcfda elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"c4fcfda\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Supporters of the People's Republic<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-465223f elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"465223f\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-6575e58\" data-id=\"6575e58\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b87e2ec elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"b87e2ec\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4996110 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"4996110\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>After the Russian military intervention in Ukraine, the People's Republic was able to capitalize on its silent support and the \"boundless friendship\" declared to the two heads of state. <b>Condemnation as \"provocation\" of Nancy Pelosi's visit circumscribes the perimeter of possible allies<\/b>, albeit without formal treaties, <b>of the People's Republic <\/b>In case of military operation in Taiwan.<\/p><p>Primarily, this quasi-alliance would see the pivot in the strategic triangle between <b>Beijing, the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Russian Federation, with their respective \"client\" states<\/b>\": Syria (a Russian-Iranian condominium, following the relocation of Russian forces to Ukraine), Yemen, the Burmese military junta strongly supported by Beijing, and North Korea. \u00a0\u00a0<\/p><p>In this fairly defined scenario <b>One surprise emerges: the United Arab Emirates. <\/b>Historic partner and key oil supply country for Western countries,<a href=\"https:\/\/english.alaraby.co.uk\/news\/uae-backs-china-taiwan-condemns-provocative-visits?amp=1\"> have expressed, in an unprecedented way, direct disapproval of the U.S. speaker's visit.<\/a><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-899039b\" data-id=\"899039b\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-edbdcf4 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"edbdcf4\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-27df39a\" data-id=\"27df39a\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-1f4a2e3\" data-id=\"1f4a2e3\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6347034 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6347034\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The following should be added to this lineup of allies <b>Governments that have declared a \"support for China's territorial integrity\" that can be divided into two macrogroups<\/b>:<\/p><ul><li><b>Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Tadjikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, Pakistan, under Russian-Chinese influence <\/b>and embraced by the so-called Belt and Road Initiative projects, including Taliban Afghanistan, with which Beijing intends to sign lucrative mining contracts<\/li><li><b>Laos, Cambodia in Southeast Asia, <\/b>with which China has had relations since the Cold War.<\/li><\/ul><p>In this field, a negative (but not too negative) surprise for the defenders of the Taiwanese cause even comes from within NATO: <b>Erdogan's Turkey<\/b>, which signals that it takes greater account of the huge Chinese market, defense of ethnic Turkic Uyghur or solidarity with Western allies. \u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-a4e1e5c elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"a4e1e5c\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-df093ac\" data-id=\"df093ac\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4122656 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"4122656\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-68c421c elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"68c421c\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-daf21ad\" data-id=\"daf21ad\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-825824f elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"825824f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Neutrals<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-0434a42 elementor-reverse-mobile elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"0434a42\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-ff5c4a6\" data-id=\"ff5c4a6\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ba5b610 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"ba5b610\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>The rest of the Asian countries have chosen a position of absolute neutrality, with one group, the states of the Arabian Peninsula, including those hosting U.S. bases, preferring silence, while a <b>second Southeast Asian group opted to demonstrate a generic \"concern about rising tensions in the Strait,\" including Indonesia and Malaysia<\/b>, coastal states of the South China Sea.<\/p><p><b>South Korea<\/b>, which also hosts bases and missile systems to defend itself against its northern neighbor, but has deep economic relations with the People's Republic <b>chose a generic formula, expressing the need for dialogue and cooperation<\/b>.<\/p><p>Neutrality could be seen as a point in China's favor, even in relation to U.S. attempts to assemble as broad a coalition as possible that could counter China's military rise. \u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-f41bcc6\" data-id=\"f41bcc6\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c43f2ad elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"c43f2ad\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"553\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.menerva.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/One_Belt_One_Road-2.png?fit=800%2C553&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-1291\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.menerva.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/One_Belt_One_Road-2.png?w=863&amp;ssl=1 863w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.menerva.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/One_Belt_One_Road-2.png?resize=300%2C208&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.menerva.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/One_Belt_One_Road-2.png?resize=768%2C531&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-9df9041 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"9df9041\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-3f1201c\" data-id=\"3f1201c\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a67b09f elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"a67b09f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-133aeec elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"133aeec\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-7c67f53\" data-id=\"7c67f53\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-125386f elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"125386f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">What does it imply for a conflict scenario?<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-e1c6c52 elementor-hidden-tablet elementor-hidden-mobile elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"e1c6c52\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-5391bcd\" data-id=\"5391bcd\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ae0b4ce elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"ae0b4ce\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>This scenario shows that <b>the weight of China's economic relations heavily influences the international positioning of the respective governments<\/b>, for which the People's Republic is a market for its raw materials or processed products or a financier of infrastructure projects.<\/p><p>Analyzing these statements, it would seem that Taiwan's defense would find only in Japan the only Asian country ready to intervene directly or support the island.<\/p><p><b>Other countries tending for geopolitical reasons to maintain a supportive position would face several critical issues in dealing with the consequences of a hard line.<\/b><\/p><p>India and Vietnam have been the recipients of substantial Chinese foreign direct investment over the past decade while Singapore, following events in Hong Kong, is becoming the destination for capital outflows from the People's Republic and is historically trying to maintain a balance between the two superpowers.<\/p><p>Russian Federation and Iran, already hit by massive Western sanctions, with open disputes and thus unlikely to shift in the medium term to a less-aligned stance, could provide a fair amount of military support while the Gulf oil countries could maintain the flow of oil. \u00a0<\/p><p>An instrument of the eventual U.S. military device i.e. the<b>he closure of \"chokepoints\" to transport ships to China<\/b>, which would be conceivable in the event of open conflict between the United States and the People's Republic, <b>would seem to find some difficulty in the lack of cooperation from local governments, both in the Persian Gulf and Southeast Asia.<\/b><\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-379837b elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"379837b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>In a hypothetical and undesirable war scenario, the joint forces of Japan, the United States and possible European naval expeditions still maintain technological supremacy over China and possible allies, but <b>the nineteenth century is over: in calculating the clash it will be necessary to take into account what Asia thinks.<\/b><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-4d880ba\" data-id=\"4d880ba\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a1854a7 elementor-widget-divider--view-line_text elementor-widget-divider--element-align-center elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"a1854a7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider__text elementor-divider__element\">\n\t\t\t\tStatements from India\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e38d436 elementor-blockquote--skin-quotation elementor-blockquote--align-center elementor-blockquote--button-color-official elementor-widget elementor-widget-blockquote\" data-id=\"e38d436\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"blockquote.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<blockquote class=\"elementor-blockquote\">\n\t\t\t<p class=\"elementor-blockquote__content\">\n\t\t\t\tLike many other countries, India is concerned about recent developments. We admonish the exercise of restraint, avoidance of unilateral actions that could change the status quo, de-escalation of tensions, and efforts to maintain peace and stability in the region \t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-q-footer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<cite class=\"elementor-blockquote__author\">Arindam Bagchi, Minister of External Affairs of India<\/cite>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/blockquote>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-1360765 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"1360765\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ha_eqh_enable&quot;:false}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-18a8f70\" data-id=\"18a8f70\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c66e8dc elementor-widget elementor-widget-author-box\" data-id=\"c66e8dc\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"author-box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-author-box\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div  class=\"elementor-author-box__avatar\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.menerva.me\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/Menerva-logo-5.png?fit=300%2C300&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"La voce di Menerva\" loading=\"lazy\">\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-author-box__text\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div >\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4 class=\"elementor-author-box__name\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tThe voice of Menerva\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h4>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A posthumous analysis of reactions in Asia to the event <\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4199,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[113,62],"tags":[72,73,78],"class_list":["post-1289","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articoli","category-esteri","tag-asia","tag-crisi-taiwan","tag-nord-america"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.6 (Yoast SEO v28.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Il termometro d&#039;Asia: Pelosi a Taiwan - Menerva<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Le reazioni dei paesi 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